This report presents a best-estimate probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) to quantify the frequency of criticality accidents during railroad transportation of spent nuclear fuel casks. The assessment is of sufficient detail to enable full scrutiny of the model logic and the basis for each quantitative parameter contributing to criticality accident scenario frequencies. The report takes into account the results of a 2007 peer review of the initial version of this probabilistic risk assessment, which was published as EPRI Technical Report 1013449 in December 2006.

The U.S. industry’s limited efforts at licensing transportation packages characterized as “highcapacity,”
or containing “high-burnup” (>45 GWd/MTU) commercial spent nuclear fuel
(CSNF), or both, have not been successful considering existing spent-fuel inventories that will
have to be eventually transported. A holistic framework is proposed for resolving several CSNF
transportation issues. The framework considers transportation risks, spent-fuel and cask-design

Title 10 of the Code of Federal Regulations (10 CFR) Part 71, Packaging and Transportation of
Radioactive Material, and 10 CFR Part 72, Licensing Requirements for the Independent
Storage of Spent Nuclear Fuel, High-Level Radioactive Waste, and Reactor-Related Greater
Than Class C Waste, require that spent nuclear fuel (SNF) remain subcritical in transportation
and storage, respectively. Unirradiated reactor fuel has a well-specified nuclide composition
that provides a straightforward and bounding approach to the criticality safety analysis of

The objective of this calculation is to evaluate the required minimum burnup as a function of initial boiling water reactor (BWR) assembly enrichment that would permit loading of spent nuclear fuel into the 44 BWR waste package configuration as provided in Attachment IV. This calculation is an application of the methodology presented in ''Disposal Criticality Analysis Methodology Topical Report'' (YMP 2003). The scope of this calculation covers a range of enrichments from 0 through 5.0 weight percent (wt%) U-235, and a burnup range of 0 through 40 GWd/MTU.

This publication records the proceedings of a technical meeting organized by the IAEA and
held in London 29 August–2 September 2005 with sixty participants from 18 countries. As
indicated in the title, the objective of this meeting was to provide a forum for exchange of
technical information on spent fuel burnup credit applications and thereby compile state-ofthe-
art information on technical advances related to spent fuel transportation, storage,
reprocessing and disposition.

This report attempts to summarize and consolidate the existing knowledge on axial
burnup distribution issues that are important to burnup credit criticality safety calculations.
Recently released Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) staff guidance permits limited burnup
credit, and thus, has prompted resolution of the axial burnup distribution issue. The reactivity
difference between the neutron multiplication factor (keff) calculated with explicit representation

As part of a larger program to study mixed-oxide fuel subject to high burnup, some UO2 samples were exposed and analyzed. This report discusses results from the analysis of a UO sample that was burned in a boiling-water reactor (BWR) to approximately 57 GWd/t. The sample

The Interim Staff Guidance on burnup credit (ISG-8) issued by the United States Nuclear Regulatory
Commission’s (U.S. NRC) Spent Fuel Project Office recommends restricting the use of burnup credit to
assemblies that have not used burnable absorbers. This recommended restriction eliminates a large portion
of the currently discharged spent fuel assemblies from cask loading, and thus severely limits the practical
usefulness of burnup credit. In the absence of readily available information on burnable poison rod (BPR)

Disposal Criticality Analysis Methodology Topical Report describes a methodology for performing postclosure criticality analyses within the repository at Yucca Mountain, Nevada. An important component of the postclosure criticality analysis is the calculation of conservative isotopic concentrations for spent nuclear fuel. This report documents the isotopic calculation methodology. The isotopic calculation methodology is shown to be conservative based upon current data for pressurized water reactor and boiling water reactor spent nuclear fuel.

Uncertainties in the predicted isotopic concentrations in spent nuclear fuel represent one of the largest
sources of overall uncertainty in criticality calculations that use burnup credit. The methods used to
propagate the uncertainties in the calculated nuclide concentrations to the uncertainty in the predicted
neutron multiplication factor (keff) of the system can have a significant effect on the uncertainty in the
safety margin in criticality calculations and ultimately affect the potential capacity of spent fuel transport