Initial Waste Package Probabilistic Criticality Analysis: Multi-Purpose Canister With Disposal Container (TBV)
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B00000000-01717-2200-00080_MOL.19960422.0372.pdf (3.98 MB) | 3.98 MB |
This analysis is prepared by the Mined Geologic Disposal System (MGDS) Waste Package Development Department (WPDD) to provide an assessment of the present waste package design from a criticality risk standpoint. The specific objectives of this initial analysis are to:
1. Establish a process for determining the probability of waste package criticality as a function of time (in terms of a cumulative distribution function, probability distribution function, or expected number of criticalities in a specified time interval) for various waste package concepts;
2. Demonstrate the established process by estimating the probability of criticality as a function of time since emplacement for an intact multi-purpose canister waste package (MPC-WP) configuration;
3. Identify the dominant sequences leading to waste package criticality for subsequent detailed analysis.